Product Odds Guide

2026 Topps Cosmic Chrome Baseball

Find the hardest published pulls, compare box formats, and explore the odds for the cards you collect.

Official odds captured Nov 5, 2026 from Topps’ published odds sheet

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Start with the rarest pulls

What’s hardest to pull?

Ranked by the largest published “1 in N packs” denominator across this product’s formats. Each card set or parallel appears once, with the format behind that rate. These are odds for a card set, not a specific player or a guarantee of value.

Top 5 hardest published pulls

All card sets and parallels, including numbered cards.

TRIPLE STAR CLUSTERS SUPERFRACTOR /1 1 in 366,040 packs Hobby · Numbered
DUAL STAR CLUSTERS SUPERFRACTOR /1 1 in 292,832 packs Hobby · Numbered
STAR CLUSTERS DUAL AUTOGRAPHS SUPERFRACTOR /1 1 in 146,032 packs Hobby · Autograph
COSMIC EXPLORERS CUT SIGNATURES 1 in 85,901 packs Hobby · Autograph
STELLAR STARS AUTOGRAPH VARIATION SUPERFRACTOR /1 1 in 81,128 packs Hobby · Autograph

Top 5 hardest verified non-numbered pulls

Verified against the checklist as non-numbered. Cards with uncertain numbering are excluded.

COSMIC EXPLORERS CUT SIGNATURES 1 in 85,901 packs Hobby · Autograph
PLANETARY PURSUIT PLUTO 1 in 28,000 packs Hobby · SSP
PLANETARY PURSUIT NEPTUNE 1 in 20,000 packs Hobby · SSP
STAR CLUSTERS DUAL AUTOGRAPHS 1 in 15,535 packs Hobby · Autograph
PLANETARY PURSUIT URANUS 1 in 12,000 packs Hobby · SSP

Choose a box

Compare box formats

Verified box structure and stated guarantees. Missing figures are marked “Not published”.

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Format	Box structure	Stated guarantee	Find a box
Hobby	20 packs × 4 cards80 cards per box	None stated	Shop Hobby on eBay
Lunar	Not published packs × Not published cardsNot published cards per box	None stated	Shop Lunar on eBay

More box details and checklist coverage

Counts describe distinct card sets in the odds, not expected cards per box. “Easiest auto” refers to one card set’s published odds, not the combined chance of any autograph.

Format	Boxes per case	Card sets	Autos / Relics / SSPs	Easiest auto
Hobby	Not confirmed	127 of 138	26 / 0 / 19	1 in 136 packs
Lunar	Not confirmed	112 of 138	2 / 0 / 19	1 in 37 packs

Find your card set

Detailed Odds Explorer

Search all 138 card sets with published odds. Open a row to compare its formats and view the full checklist.

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All formats: rarest uses each set’s hardest published rate; most common uses its easiest. Selecting a format uses only its published odds.

Card set / parallel	Hardest published odds
TRIPLE STAR CLUSTERS SUPERFRACTOR /1 Numbered	1 in 366,040 packsHobby
DUAL STAR CLUSTERS SUPERFRACTOR /1 Numbered	1 in 292,832 packsHobby
STAR CLUSTERS DUAL AUTOGRAPHS SUPERFRACTOR /1 Auto Numbered	1 in 146,032 packsHobby
COSMIC EXPLORERS CUT SIGNATURES Auto Non-numbered	1 in 85,901 packsHobby
STELLAR STARS AUTOGRAPH VARIATION SUPERFRACTOR /1 Auto Numbered	1 in 81,128 packsHobby
EXTRATERRESTRIAL TALENT AUTOGRAPH VARIATION SUPERFRACTOR /1 Auto Numbered	1 in 76,858 packsHobby
BASE ANTI GRAVITY VARIATION SUPERFRACTOR /1 SSP Numbered	1 in 66,552 packsHobby
FORCES OF THE DIAMOND SUPERFRACTOR /1 Numbered	1 in 66,552 packsHobby
PLANETARIUM SUPERFRACTOR /1 SSP Numbered	1 in 66,552 packsHobby
STARS IN THE NIGHT SUPERFRACTOR /1 Numbered	1 in 66,552 packsHobby
STELLA NOVA SUPERFRACTOR /1 Numbered	1 in 66,552 packsHobby
STELLAR STARS SUPERFRACTOR /1 Numbered	1 in 66,552 packsHobby
LAUNCHED INTO ORBIT AUTOGRAPH VARIATION SUPERFRACTOR /1 Auto Numbered	1 in 47,107 packsHobby
EXTRATERRESTRIAL TALENT SUPERFRACTOR /1 Numbered	1 in 45,755 packsHobby
TRIPLE STAR CLUSTERS RED FLARE REFRACTOR /5 Numbered	1 in 45,755 packsHobby

Showing 15 of 138 card sets.

How to read these odds

Published pack odds are Topps’ numbers, expressed as “1 in N packs”. A larger N means a harder pull. These rates apply to a card set or parallel, not a specific player.
Numbering comes from the checklist’s serial-number information. Sets with consistently blank serial numbers are classified as non-numbered. Conflicting or unmatched sets remain unverified; serial numbers in a set name are treated as numbered.
Calculated estimate uses published pack odds and a verified packs-per-box count, assuming packs are independent. Expected copies and the approximate chance of at least one are estimates, not guarantees.
Guaranteed hit is a stated promise. “1 autograph or relic” promises one or the other, not necessarily an autograph.
Multiple published rates for the same set and format are retained in row details. Rankings use the largest denominator; most-common sorting uses the smallest.
Not published / Not confirmed / — mean a verified figure is unavailable. Missing odds do not mean a pull is impossible.

SSP labels group rare inserts curated by Savvy. See sources and classification for checklist grouping, parallel availability, source corrections, and format differences.